Went searching for polling data from 1984 and lucky for me Tim Blair's already had some.

Let's recap. In 1984 Walter Mondale lost in November with 13 electoral votes. That's about 1/20th of the electoral votes he'd need to win. President Reagan recieved 58.8% of the total votes to Mondale's 40.5%. This election was the textbook definition of a landslide.

Now what did the polls look like before months before the election?

July 23, 1984: Poll Puts Mondale Even With Reagan

Democratic presidential nominee Walter F. Mondale, on a post-convention fishing vacation in Gunflint Lake, Minn., did not catch any fish but hauled in some good news yesterday from a poll that showed him pulling even with President Reagan.

May 3, 1984: Mondale-Hart, Reagan-Bush Tickets Running Neck and Neck in New Poll

If the November election were held today, a Democratic Mondale-Hart ticket would run even with a Republican Reagan-Bush ticket, according to a new Gallup Poll.

--Tim Blair.

That's right, the biggest landslide in presidential history polled as a tie 4 months before the election. Polls show John Kerry as tied with President Bush 8 months before the election.

Care to tell me now how Kerry's being tied is proof that he'll pose a challenge for President Bush in November?

-Note- This isn't proof that President Bush will win in a landslide in November but it does show that Kerry's current poll numbers are certainly no proof that he'll stay tied or take the lead.